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Haze forecast based on time series analysis and Kalman filtering
ZHANG Hengde, XIAN Yunhao, XIE Yonghua, YANG Le, ZHANG Tianhang
Journal of Computer Applications    2017, 37 (11): 3311-3316.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2017.11.3311
Abstract564)      PDF (936KB)(467)       Save
In order to improve the accuracy of haze forecast and resolve the time lagging and low accuracy of temporal model, a mixed forecast method based on time series analysis and Karman filter was proposed. Firstly, the stability of time series was tested by graph analysis and eigenvalue analysis (ADF). Unstable time series were converted to stable ones by differential operation. A statistical function was established based on the stable time series. And then, the obtained model equations were used as the state and observation equation for Kalman filtering. Final haze forecast was based on recursion by Karman filtering. The experimental results showed that the accuracy of haze forecast is effectively improved by the mixed forecast method based on time series analysis and Karman filtering.
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